There is no doubt about it: Winning a $15 per hour minimum wage for Seattle workers would be a small but significant victory for the entire working class. It would increase the standard of living for many workers who are struggling to survive. Maybe even more important, it would be a step in reversing the decades long offensive of Corporate America, and thereby it would raise the morale – the fighting spirit – of workers. This would help set in motion further struggles of workers.
Corporate Seattle Fears a Cut in Profits
Corporate Seattle is rallying the opposition to this initiative for two reasons. First of all, it will cut into their profits. The owner of Julia’s restaurant chain complains: “If a mandatory $15 an hour wage would kick in we would have to raise prices accordingly, most likely cut our work force, and trim hours of operation, making it even more difficult to be profitable, maybe even close our business.” Like every other restaurant owner, Julia’s restaurants owners is not in business to serve food; they are in business to make a profit. If they can boost their profits by cutting workers now, they will do it. If they can boost their profits by cutting hours of operation now, they will do it. Their real problem is that, as they say, a $15 per hour minimum wage might even make it “more difficult to be profitable” — meaning it could reduce their profits.
Will this force some restaurants to close down? Possibly so. But what will be the ultimate consequence? The customers of those restaurants will simply go elsewhere, forcing those other restaurants to hire more workers. It’s true that this will disrupt the lives of some workers for a period, but then any struggle to increase wages inevitably has that short term side effect. (It’s also why the struggle for higher pay should be linked with the struggle for better unemployment benefits and for free health care for all.)
Will 15 Now Lead to Cut in Jobs?
Will an increase in the minimum wage lead to an immediate or medium term decline in the number of low wage jobs, as Corporate Seattle claims? Some evidence indicates the opposite. The Wall St. Journal – certainly no friend of working class people – recently published an article on how different businesses were handling local increases in the minimum wage. Among other areas, they examined the case of San Jose, CA, where the minimum wage was increased by $2.00 per hour (to $10.15) in 2013. The article reports “The research, published in the Review of Economics and Statistics in 2010, found municipalities with higher pay didn’t suffer job losses among low-wage restaurant workers. Nearly half of all minimum wage-earners work in food service….. Initial data a year after the minimum-wage increase shows the number of fast-food workers in the San Jose-Santa Clara metropolitan area rose at a faster pace than in the state overall.” (wsj 4-8-2014 )
The article also confirms what the owner of Julia’s fears – a cut in profits. They describe one owner of several Carl’s Jr. franchises, some in San Jose and some outside of it. This owner now charges $6.19 for a burger, fries and a drink in San Jose (vs. $5.99 in Santa Clara), but he would have to charge $6.75 in San Jose to make up for the higher pay there. He lost some of his profits, in other words.
To put it very simply, the struggle over minimum wage – and over wages in general – is a struggle over how much “surplus value” goes to workers and how much goes to the employer. It is a struggle over competing and conflicting interests. And this is exactly what the employers, the owners of capital, and their mouthpieces fear – that this struggle will increasingly break out in the open and raise the awareness of these competing interests on the part of workers.
Seattle: One Big Happy Family?
Corporate America and their representatives fear the struggle just as much as they fear any ultimate outcome. The main opposition to 15 Now in Seattle gives the game away simply in their name alone: “One Seattle Coalition”. In other words, we – workers and employers – are all one big happy family with common interests. An article posted on the One Seattle web site is most revealing.
The article starts out by showing how Corporate Seattle feels the pressure of Sawant and the Seattle working class. It emphasizes the fact that the Seattle Chamber of Commerce has broken with its parent organization – the National Chamber of Commerce and that they are “not exactly the Koch Brothers or Sheldon Adelson.”
They try to counter this pressure by trying to build on local patriotism – the supposedly uniquely creative “’Seattle Process’” and advocate an increase in the minimum wage, but in moderation and with all sorts of loopholes. They describe the political benefits. “The Emerald City stands to be a national pacesetter. ‘Seattle enacts nation’s highest minimum wage: Business, labor come together on wage proposal,’ would be the headline. … Advocates like entrepreneur Nick Hanauer and Citizen University founder Eric Liu will be able to write a book about how it happened. SEIU leader David Rolf will be able to show that organized labor can still make things happen. Joe Fugere, owner of Tutta Bella Pizza, will get a warm welcome back to the White House. Ed Murray stands to become a national progressive champion, the guy who gets things done, while New York Mayor Bill De Blasio founders in feuds with Gov. Andrew Cuomo.”
It concludes by showing its real fear: That a ‘“WTO moment’” may recur. The benefit of a compromise will be “relegating class warfare talk to the ‘dustbin of history’ – thank you, Leon Trotsky, for that phrase.” (The thanks to Trotsky is revealing – both of their ignorance that this is a phrase from Marx, not Trotsky, as well as a recognition of the role of Socialist Alternative, a Trotskyist group.)
Capitalist Counter Attack
However, in physics for every action there is a counter-action and in the world of the class struggle, for every victory of the working class there is a counter attack by the employers. An increase in the minimum wage is no exception.
Any such increase will tend to lead to an overall increase in wages. If an employer pays some workers $10 per hour, for instance, and pays other more skilled or longer term workers $12, he or she will tend to have to maintain that wage differential after the minimum wage increases to $15. In the short and medium term, this will lead to a redistribution of wealth downwards, reversing the longer term trend of redistributing wealth from the workers and the poor up to the top capitalists.
What form is a counter attack of the capitalists likely to take?
They will increasingly send manufacturing and high tech jobs overseas to low wage countries like China, India, etc. This, then, will put downwards pressure on all wages in the US, just as it has over recent decades.
Workers Must Struggle
Corporate America argues that this means that it is useless to fight for higher pay. Nothing could be further from the truth. One pay cut simply leads to another, driving down the living standards of the working class to one level grey mass, ultimately heading towards complete immiseration. Accepting pay cuts, or not fighting for better pay, demoralizes workers and makes many times more difficult launching a counter-offensive for a changed society altogether.
“Labor Lieutenants of Capital” & Team Concept
The fight for an increased minimum wage has to be broadened out; it has to draw in all sectors of the working class, and to do so means connecting it with related issues. First and foremost, it means relating the issue of the minimum wage to the issue of wages as a whole for all workers. In the US, the main organizations that workers have built to improve their living standards have been the unions. But today the unions are locked in a strangle-hold by a leadership that is in the main the mouthpiece of the employers – “the labor lieutenants of capital” as the old time socialist Daniel deLeon called them.
Seattle’s own David Rolf of the SEIU is a prime example of this. Courted by One Seattle for good reason (see above quote), he has explained why he supports excluding union workers from a $15 per hour minimum wage ordinance: “We always want to offer an olive branch and a high road approach to employers of conscience who prefer to have direct and honest relations to unions that they are facing across the bargaining table so, yes, we hope that amongst the unions that are active at the airport that if workers choose to join those unions we want to facilitate and encourage productive, bilateral bargaining agreements,” he said.
It is exactly because of this attitude that Corporate Seattle, in the person of One Seattle, recognizes that they have to give the David Rolfs of the union movement a few concessions – to allow them to maintain control over their members and over the working class in general. And it is exactly this thinking that will tend to be discredited by building a mass movement for the $15 per hour minimum wage.
Building an Opposition Within the Unions
At this point, it seems that the leadership of many if not all of Seattle’s major unions are not supporting 15 Now. This includes SEIU (service employees), UNITE/HERE (hotel and restaurant workers), and UFCW (grocery workers). These are exactly the sectors where most low wage union workers are concentrated. This poses both the opportunity as well as the necessity for 15 Now to make a drive into those work places aimed at those low paid workers. This could include actually holding work place leafletting and rallies. The purpose of this drive would be to encourage those workers and help them organize to fight inside their union to get those unions to endorse and contribute to the 15 Now campaign. Sawant, herself, for instance, could take time out from negotiating and debating with the Mayor’s Commission and lead such a campaign. If she got arrested in the process, so much the better.*
Again, even more important than whether those workers actually won that battle would be the process of their organizing and the longer term implications of that. It would mean putting an end to the rule of the David Rolf’s of the union movement and rebuilding the unions as fighting organizations of the working class, with no illusions in “employers of good conscience,” with no illusions that workers and the employers have common interests. That this would also mean putting the entire union hierarchy on edge in Seattle is actually a positive; it would mean that such a campaign would tend to spread to the entire labor movement there. Included in the campaign to transform the unions could be some of the following program:
- End the team concept, (the concept that union and the employer are on the same “team”). No concessions, no cuts in pay or benefits.
- Link the contract struggle with a mass, rank-and-file based campaign to organize the unorganized.
- For international solidarity in deeds, not just words, including direct links between workers in the same company and the same industry around the world through the internet and by direct visits; a strike against a company or an entire industry in one country means a strike against them everywhere.
- Link the struggle of union workers with the struggle of oppressed groups to build solidarity; union support for prisoner rights, for immigrant rights, against police brutality, for the rights of specially oppressed minorities and women, etc.
- For workers candidates and a mass workers’ party in the United States.
As sailors say, “it’s not the destination; it’s the journey”, and what is true for them is 1000 times more true for the class struggle. It is what is to be learned, how the class consciousness increases, that is at least as important as the temporary victories.
* – We are happy to see that Socialist Alternative and 15 Now did not include the union exclusion clause – known as the “collective bargaining opt-out” in its initiative. It was long unclear what their intentions were on this. This inclusion would have been a serious mistake. As for the other concessions – the three year phase in for employees in businesses of up to 250 workers and in non-profits – from this distance here in Oakland it is difficult to have a definite opinion although if these concessions are made more to attract a wing of the union hierarchy than to attract workers we think it is mistaken. For a more fleshed out strategy and program for a minimum wage campaign that is not oriented to the union hierarchy, see here.